IND41
FINAL
20TEN
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Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability

FINAL
Indianapolis Colts logo
Indianapolis Colts
2-0
41
VS
Tennessee Titans logo
Tennessee Titans
0-2
20
Market line: TEN -1.5, total 51.5 · Model expected score: Indianapolis Colts 25.0 – Tennessee Titans 26.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Titans 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
61
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 61.

O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 48
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
49% over ✓51% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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