DAL14
FINAL
31CHI
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Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears — Win Probability

FINAL
Dallas Cowboys logo
Dallas Cowboys
1-0
14
VS
Chicago Bears logo
Chicago Bears
0-2
31
Market line: CHI -2.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Dallas Cowboys 21.6 – Chicago Bears 24.0
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Prediction vs. Result

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PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bears 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
45
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Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
11%
Won by 21+
8%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 45.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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