Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
0-1
0
VS
Carolina Panthers
0-3
30
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Panthers 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Carolina Panthers won by 30
COMBINED SCORE
30
Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 30.
O/U LINE 30
88% over12% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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