Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers — Win Probability
FINAL
Arizona Cardinals
2-0
15
VS
San Francisco 49ers
3-0
16
Market line: SF -3.5, total 40.5 · Model expected score: Arizona Cardinals 18.5 – San Francisco 49ers 22.0
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
San Francisco 49ers won by 1
COMBINED SCORE
31
Ad space
Margin of Victory — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
40%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 31.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
19% over81% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.