New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Giants
0-1
37
VS
Dallas Cowboys
0-0
40
Market line: DAL -4.5, total 40.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 18.0 – Dallas Cowboys 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
77
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Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 77.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 48
28% over ✓72% under
O/U LINE 52
19% over ✓81% under
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