Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Cleveland Browns
0-1
17
VS
Baltimore Ravens
0-0
41
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 83%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 24
COMBINED SCORE
58
Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
17%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
20%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
26%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 58.
O/U LINE 30
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 37.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
42% over ✓58% under
O/U LINE 44
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 48
21% over ✓79% under
O/U LINE 52
14% over ✓86% under
Projected Margin Range — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Negative means Baltimore Ravens lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -9
Median: +13
P95: +34