Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Buffalo Bills
1-0
30
VS
New York Jets
0-1
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 20
COMBINED SCORE
40
Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
74%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
7%
Won by 8-14
8%
Won by 15-21
3%
Won by 21+
1%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 40.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
19% over81% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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