Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
0-0
12
VS
Denver Broncos
0-0
20
Market line: DEN -9.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 16.4 – Denver Broncos 26.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Broncos 76%
ACTUAL RESULT
Denver Broncos won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
32
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Margin of Victory — Denver Broncos (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
24%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+
19%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 32.
O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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