Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons — Win Probability
FINAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0
23
VS
Atlanta Falcons
0-0
20
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
Margin of Victory — Atlanta Falcons (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
58%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over45% under ✓
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
32% over68% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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