San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
0-0
17
VS
Seattle Seahawks
0-0
13
Market line: SF -1.5, total 49.5 · Model expected score: San Francisco 49ers 25.5 – Seattle Seahawks 24.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
San Francisco 49ers won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
30
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
55%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 30.
O/U LINE 30
93% over7% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
76% over24% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
42% over58% under ✓
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