Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0
34
VS
New York Jets
0-0
32
Market line: PIT -2.5, total 37.5 · Model expected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0 – New York Jets 17.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
66
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Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
58%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.
O/U LINE 30
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 37.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 44
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 48
22% over ✓78% under
O/U LINE 52
14% over ✓86% under
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