PIT34
FINAL
32NYJ
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets — Win Probability

FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0
34
VS
New York Jets logo
New York Jets
0-0
32
Market line: PIT -2.5, total 37.5 · Model expected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0 – New York Jets 17.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
66
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Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
58%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.

O/U LINE 30
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 37.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 44
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 48
22% over ✓78% under
O/U LINE 52
14% over ✓86% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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