NYG6
FINAL
21WAS
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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability

FINAL
New York Giants logo
New York Giants
0-0
6
VS
Washington Commanders logo
Washington Commanders
0-0
21
Market line: WAS -5.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 18.0 – Washington Commanders 23.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 15
COMBINED SCORE
27
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Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
14%
Won by 21+
12%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 27.

O/U LINE 30
81% over19% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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