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Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability

FINAL
Houston Texans logo
Houston Texans
0-0
9
VS
Los Angeles Rams logo
Los Angeles Rams
0-0
14
Market line: LAR -2.5, total 46.5 · Model expected score: Houston Texans 22.0 – Los Angeles Rams 24.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
23
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 23.

O/U LINE 30
89% over11% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
58% over42% under ✓
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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