Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers — Win Probability
FINAL
Detroit Lions
0-0
13
VS
Green Bay Packers
0-0
27
Market line: GB -1.5, total 49.5 · Model expected score: Detroit Lions 24.0 – Green Bay Packers 25.5
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Green Bay Packers won by 14
COMBINED SCORE
40
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Green Bay Packers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 40.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over24% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
42% over58% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.