Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Arizona Cardinals
0-0
20
VS
New Orleans Saints
0-0
13
Market line: ARI -5.5, total 35.5 · Model expected score: Arizona Cardinals 20.5 – New Orleans Saints 15.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cardinals 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Arizona Cardinals won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
33
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Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
66%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
10%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 35.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
17% over83% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
11% over89% under ✓
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