New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos — Win Probability
FINAL
New England Patriots
2-1
10
VS
Denver Broncos
2-1
7
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Patriots 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
New England Patriots won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
17
Margin of Victory — Denver Broncos (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 17.
O/U LINE 30
78% over22% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
39% over61% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
28% over72% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
19% over81% under ✓
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free