Los Angeles Rams vs Chicago Bears — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
2-0
20
VS
Chicago Bears
0-0
17
Market line: LAR -3.5, total 51.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 27.5 – Chicago Bears 24.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 61%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
37
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Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
61%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over19% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
71% over29% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
60% over40% under ✓
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
48% over52% under ✓
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