Houston Texans vs New England Patriots — Win Probability
FINAL
Houston Texans
0-1
16
VS
New England Patriots
0-1
28
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Patriots 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
New England Patriots won by 12
COMBINED SCORE
44
Margin of Victory — New England Patriots (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
42%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
18%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
18% over82% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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