San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
0-0
23
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
0-0
19
Market line: SF -2.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: San Francisco 49ers 24.0 – Philadelphia Eagles 21.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
San Francisco 49ers won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
42
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 42.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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