LAR34
FINAL
31CAR
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Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability

FINAL
Los Angeles Rams logo
Los Angeles Rams
0-0
34
VS
Carolina Panthers logo
Carolina Panthers
0-0
31
Market line: LAR -10.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 28.0 – Carolina Panthers 17.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 78%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
65
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
78%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
6%
Won by 8-14
6%
Won by 15-21
2%
Won by 21+
1%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 65.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 52
31% over ✓69% under

Projected Margin Range — Carolina Panthers (Home)

Negative means Carolina Panthers lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.

P05: -32
Median: -10
P95: +11

Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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