Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
Buffalo Bills
0-0
27
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-0
24
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
51
Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
43% over57% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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