San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
3-7
24
VS
Arizona Cardinals
6-8
47
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Arizona Cardinals won by 23
COMBINED SCORE
71
Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
53%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 71.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 44
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
45% over ✓55% under
O/U LINE 52
34% over ✓66% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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