Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability
FINAL
Seattle Seahawks
8-4
30
VS
Los Angeles Rams
7-4
25
Market line: LAR -2.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: Seattle Seahawks 19.5 – Los Angeles Rams 22.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
55
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 55.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 52
22% over ✓78% under
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