New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Giants
2-10
13
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
14-2
20
Market line: PHI -3.5, total 38.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 17.5 – Philadelphia Eagles 21.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 61%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
33
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
39%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
24% over76% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
15% over85% under ✓
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