Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Cleveland Browns
2-12
10
VS
Baltimore Ravens
8-5
35
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 90%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 25
COMBINED SCORE
45
Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
10%
Won by 1-3
4%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
21%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
39%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 45.
O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
45% over ✓55% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
Projected Margin Range — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Negative means Baltimore Ravens lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -4
Median: +17
P95: +39