Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Cincinnati Bengals
6-5
19
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-5
17
Market line: CIN -2.5, total 48 · Model expected score: Cincinnati Bengals 25.3 – Pittsburgh Steelers 22.8
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bengals 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Cincinnati Bengals won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
36
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Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 36.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over27% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
62% over38% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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