Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers — Win Probability
FINAL
Chicago Bears
4-9
24
VS
Green Bay Packers
8-4
22
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 75%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
46
Margin of Victory — Green Bay Packers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
25%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
17%
Won by 21+
18%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 46.
O/U LINE 30
77% over ✓23% under
O/U LINE 40
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
38% over ✓62% under
O/U LINE 48
28% over72% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
18% over82% under ✓
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free