Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
3-12
13
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-12
20
Market line: JAX -1.0, total 39.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 19.3 – Jacksonville Jaguars 20.2
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
33
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Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
6%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
18% over82% under ✓
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