New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Jets
2-8
14
VS
Buffalo Bills
11-3
40
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 76%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 26
COMBINED SCORE
54
Margin of Victory — Buffalo Bills (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
24%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
17%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
19%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 54.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 44
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 48
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
40% over ✓60% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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