Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders
3-11
25
VS
New Orleans Saints
5-7
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Saints 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Las Vegas Raiders won by 15
COMBINED SCORE
35
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
42%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 35.
O/U LINE 30
77% over ✓23% under
O/U LINE 40
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
38% over62% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
27% over73% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
19% over81% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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