Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Kansas City Chiefs
11-2
29
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-4
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
Kansas City Chiefs won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
39
Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
69%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 39.
O/U LINE 30
80% over ✓20% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
21% over79% under ✓
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