Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Carolina Panthers
4-11
14
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-3
48
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 34
COMBINED SCORE
62
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
26%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
17%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 62.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 44
61% over ✓39% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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