Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
3-11
30
VS
Indianapolis Colts
6-7
38
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
68
Margin of Victory — Indianapolis Colts (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 68.
O/U LINE 30
83% over ✓17% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over ✓76% under
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free