Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-3
17
VS
Baltimore Ravens
6-5
34
Market line: BAL -4.5, total 46.5 · Model expected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 21.0 – Baltimore Ravens 25.6
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 44
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
45% over ✓55% under
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
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