Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability
FINAL
Minnesota Vikings
10-1
27
VS
Seattle Seahawks
8-3
24
Market line: MIN -2.0, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 23.8 – Seattle Seahawks 21.8
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 56%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
56%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 52
32% over68% under ✓
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