Los Angeles Rams vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
6-4
19
VS
New York Jets
2-7
9
Market line: LAR -2.5, total 46 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 24.2 – New York Jets 21.7
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
28
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Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 28.
O/U LINE 30
88% over12% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
67% over33% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
56% over44% under ✓
O/U LINE 46 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
44% over56% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
33% over67% under ✓
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