Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs — Win Probability
FINAL
Houston Texans
8-4
19
VS
Kansas City Chiefs
10-2
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 62%
ACTUAL RESULT
Kansas City Chiefs won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
46
Margin of Victory — Kansas City Chiefs (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
38%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
18%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
10%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 46.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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