Market line: DET -7.5, total 46.5 · Model expected score: Detroit Lions 27.0 – Chicago Bears 19.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 44
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
45% over ✓55% under
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
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