Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Chargers — Win Probability
FINAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-3
40
VS
Los Angeles Chargers
7-3
17
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 23
COMBINED SCORE
57
Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Chargers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
40%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
70% over ✓30% under
O/U LINE 44
59% over ✓41% under
O/U LINE 47 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
47% over ✓53% under
O/U LINE 52
36% over ✓64% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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