Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
Dallas Cowboys
3-5
30
VS
Carolina Panthers
3-10
14
Market line: DAL -1.5, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Dallas Cowboys 22.5 – Carolina Panthers 21.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 16
COMBINED SCORE
44
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
48% over52% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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