Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability
FINAL
Buffalo Bills
9-3
48
VS
Detroit Lions
8-1
42
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
90
Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 90.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 48
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
48% over ✓52% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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