Baltimore Ravens vs New York Giants — Win Probability
FINAL
Baltimore Ravens
5-5
35
VS
New York Giants
2-8
14
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 82%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
82%
Won by 1-3
5%
Won by 4-7
5%
Won by 8-14
5%
Won by 15-21
2%
Won by 21+
1%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
39% over ✓61% under
O/U LINE 52
28% over72% under ✓
Projected Margin Range — New York Giants (Home)
Negative means New York Giants lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -34
Median: -12
P95: +10