Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-10
10
VS
Tennessee Titans
3-9
6
Market line: TEN -1.5, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Jacksonville Jaguars 21.0 – Tennessee Titans 22.6
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Titans 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
16
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 16.
O/U LINE 30
85% over15% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
61% over39% under ✓
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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