Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Cleveland Browns
2-8
14
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
7-2
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 67%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 13
COMBINED SCORE
41
Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
33%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
13%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
20% over80% under ✓
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