Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Carolina Panthers
3-9
16
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
11-1
22
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 84%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
38
Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
16%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
10%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
20%
Won by 21+
27%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 38.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
Projected Margin Range — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Negative means Philadelphia Eagles lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -9
Median: +13
P95: +35