Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
4-5
21
VS
Minnesota Vikings
9-1
42
Market line: MIN -4.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Atlanta Falcons 20.5 – Minnesota Vikings 25.1
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 64%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
63
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
36%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 63.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 52
32% over ✓68% under
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.