ATL21
FINAL
42MIN
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Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
Atlanta Falcons logo
Atlanta Falcons
4-5
21
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
9-1
42
Market line: MIN -4.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Atlanta Falcons 20.5 – Minnesota Vikings 25.1
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 64%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
63
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
36%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
13%
Won by 21+
11%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 63.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 52
32% over ✓68% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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