Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Seattle Seahawks
6-3
26
VS
New York Jets
1-5
21
Market line: NYJ -1.0, total 44 · Model expected score: Seattle Seahawks 21.5 – New York Jets 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jets 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
47
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Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
85% over ✓15% under
O/U LINE 40
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 44
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
39% over61% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
28% over72% under ✓
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