Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-2
44
VS
Cincinnati Bengals
3-4
38
Market line: CIN -1.5, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 23.0 – Cincinnati Bengals 24.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bengals 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
82
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Margin of Victory — Cincinnati Bengals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 82.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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