Philadelphia Eagles vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles
10-1
24
VS
Baltimore Ravens
5-4
19
Market line: BAL -3.0, total 50.5 · Model expected score: Philadelphia Eagles 23.8 – Baltimore Ravens 26.7
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
43
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Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
94% over ✓6% under
O/U LINE 40
79% over ✓21% under
O/U LINE 44
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 50.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
45% over55% under ✓
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