New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Giants
2-6
20
VS
Dallas Cowboys
2-5
27
Market line: DAL -2.5, total 39.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 18.5 – Dallas Cowboys 21.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
47
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Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
42%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
17% over83% under ✓
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